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Quote: Originally posted by Orange71 on Aug 19, 2023
Please explain what this contest means. You're picking a single white ball from 1 to 69, correct? (That presumably corresponds to the Powerball lotto.)
Then, your pick is compared to actual (5) lotto winning number results. Correct?
Do you "win" if your pick is any of the 5 actual drawn numbers or only the first one?
You were a "12-time winner" in 2022, and you are an "8-time winner" this year so far, is that correct? How many draws is that in both cases?
Let's get the parameters down and see how the actual statistics line up versus the theoretical probabilities. I'm skeptical, but let's see what the data indicates. No mysticism, no emotion, just probabilities and grounded mathematics.
Good point, Orange71. Let's see how impressive Ricklou's one-ball Powerball guesses are mathematically.
Powerball is drawn approximately 156.5 times a year.
If you guess one white ball out of 69, you have a 5/69 chance of getting it right.
Over the course of a year of participating in all the one-ball Powerball challenges, a participant's expected number of correct guesses is approximately 156.5 * (5/69) ≈ 11.3.
One year he got it right 12 times, a difference of +0.7 over the expected value. Wowwee. Only rcbbuckeye made an impressive showing that year.
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Quote: Originally posted by Ricklou on Aug 19, 2023
As far as I know every person is entitled to their own opinion. That was my opinion and your welcome to differ from me. You clearly does not understand and I not gonna waste my time and energy on people who want to troll and attack peoples opinion.If you dont like any persons opinion move past and move along -Simple as that
The first digit is key -It will show you what sequence on the first digit have a high probability to follow example skip 3 7 10
Prediction 3 9 18
Your first digit is the most difficult to predict and the most difficult too -You will one day grasp it
This post is to discuss the first digit if you wanna come and post snotty remarks like users above -Im not gonna respond to idiotic trolls looking for attention.We can all agree to disagree and you can differ in a polite way -Dont come and troll here move along if you can't contribute something constructive towards the topic
Math is not a matter of opinion. You have made a mathematical claim that guessing the first ball or number correctly is more important than guessing the other balls or numbers correctly. You have have provided no mathematical proof for this claim, and even worse, the lottery's prize structure directly contradicts your claim. Partial matches are paid out according to how many numbers you got correct, not their order. Getting only one number right pays out zilch, whether it's the first or last number.
Quote: Originally posted by cottoneyedjoe on Aug 19, 2023
Good point, Orange71. Let's see how impressive Ricklou's one-ball Powerball guesses are mathematically.
Powerball is drawn approximately 156.5 times a year.
If you guess one white ball out of 69, you have a 5/69 chance of getting it right.
Over the course of a year of participating in all the one-ball Powerball challenges, a participant's expected number of correct guesses is approximately 156.5 * (5/69) ≈ 11.3.
One year he got it right 12 times, a difference of +0.7 over the expected value. Wowwee. Only rcbbuckeye made an impressive showing that year.
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Quote: Originally posted by cottoneyedjoe on Aug 19, 2023
Math is not a matter of opinion. You have made a mathematical claim that guessing the first ball or number correctly is more important than guessing the other balls or numbers correctly. You have have provided no mathematical proof for this claim, and even worse, the lottery's prize structure directly contradicts your claim. Partial matches are paid out according to how many numbers you got correct, not their order. Getting only one number right pays out zilch, whether it's the first or last number.
Why is this even in the math forum?
Cottoneyedjoe, why is this in the math forum?
Well, there's nothing to stop people from posting nonsense in the forum that has no basis whatsoever in actual math. We're seeing this quite a bit. There's a Mysticism forum, where they can post away all day long, but they have so much "love" to spread that (apparently) they feel the need to come over to the Math Forum.
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Quote: Originally posted by Orange71 on Aug 19, 2023
Please explain what this contest means. You're picking a single white ball from 1 to 69, correct? (That presumably corresponds to the Powerball lotto.)
Then, your pick is compared to actual (5) lotto winning number results. Correct?
Do you "win" if your pick is any of the 5 actual drawn numbers or only the first one?
You were a "12-time winner" in 2022, and you are an "8-time winner" this year so far, is that correct? How many draws is that in both cases?
Let's get the parameters down and see how the actual statistics line up versus the theoretical probabilities. I'm skeptical, but let's see what the data indicates. No mysticism, no emotion, just probabilities and grounded mathematics.
No you simply have one chance to choose a number that will appear in your next draw. By choosing one definite winner wont give you a prize - I said if you know the first digit skip value you have a better chance to predict digit 2 and 3......thats already a prize.Those challenges can give you clear indication who is good predictors thats why I said if you a lottery genius put your money where your mouth is and go show off your skills don't come and troll on a forum attacking posts. I simply stated that for the trolls here on lottery post they know who they are. They have lots to say but they paper weight rookies some people need to learn respect . I'm not gonna entertain any further trolls they not worth my time and energy
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Quote: Originally posted by hypersoniq on Aug 19, 2023
I get what you are saying. One thing I have noticed is that looking at a non replacement draw history tends to show a higher count for the extreme limits of the game. For instance, the most popular numbers in the PA match 6 in the first digit lists 1 as the most frequently drawn, nearly double all of the other first ball digits, the same is true of 49 as the last digit.
I recently put together a spreadsheet for the current matrix of the MM and PB, I will see if the same holds true.
Great good luck to you there -the same should apply for any lottery
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Quote: Originally posted by cottoneyedjoe on Aug 19, 2023
Good point, Orange71. Let's see how impressive Ricklou's one-ball Powerball guesses are mathematically.
Powerball is drawn approximately 156.5 times a year.
If you guess one white ball out of 69, you have a 5/69 chance of getting it right.
Over the course of a year of participating in all the one-ball Powerball challenges, a participant's expected number of correct guesses is approximately 156.5 * (5/69) ≈ 11.3.
One year he got it right 12 times, a difference of +0.7 over the expected value. Wowwee. Only rcbbuckeye made an impressive showing that year.
Why dont you join and show us how its done buddy? -Talk is cheap but money buy the whiskey. Come and get 12 wins a year on a spot pick -only one choice !!!!! I dont see your name there? Its of no use posting on a mathematics forum but you cannot hack it in real life
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Quote: Originally posted by cottoneyedjoe on Aug 19, 2023
Math is not a matter of opinion. You have made a mathematical claim that guessing the first ball or number correctly is more important than guessing the other balls or numbers correctly. You have have provided no mathematical proof for this claim, and even worse, the lottery's prize structure directly contradicts your claim. Partial matches are paid out according to how many numbers you got correct, not their order. Getting only one number right pays out zilch, whether it's the first or last number.
Why is this even in the math forum?
First digit have a skip pattern -You have just shown me your level of expertise right there.Go read my previous response on Orange's post
I have posted an example......if you certain skip 3 hits on digit 1 you have a very high probability to to get digit 2 and 3 correct -your first skip control all 5 skips as it follows from previous draws skip 3 's sequence
This is high grade maths.....Im pretty sure any good lottery player will grasp that
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Quote: Originally posted by cottoneyedjoe on Aug 19, 2023
Math is not a matter of opinion. You have made a mathematical claim that guessing the first ball or number correctly is more important than guessing the other balls or numbers correctly. You have have provided no mathematical proof for this claim, and even worse, the lottery's prize structure directly contradicts your claim. Partial matches are paid out according to how many numbers you got correct, not their order. Getting only one number right pays out zilch, whether it's the first or last number.
Why is this even in the math forum?
This is high grade maths.....I'm pretty sure any good lottery player will grasp that Please try and understand whats a skip sequence -A skip sequence is 5 skips and it follows from the same skip 1 sequence -example skip 4 Hit on powerball on 19/ 7/23 and it hit again on 09 /08/ 23
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Quote: Originally posted by Ricklou on Aug 20, 2023
This is high grade maths.....I'm pretty sure any good lottery player will grasp that Please try and understand whats a skip sequence -A skip sequence is 5 skips and it follows from the same skip 1 sequence -example skip 4 Hit on powerball on 19/ 7/23 and it hit again on 09 /08/ 23
4 42 11 3 3 3 -19 /7/23 Powerball
4 15 9 11 21 5 - 09/08/23 Powerball
In this example above I included the PB -ball 6. skip value....... Normally they will follow -same apply for the bonus nr -Just to clarify it
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I don't see how this is "high grade maths"... Its just another method to keep track of numbers that may or may not lag behind in being drawn... GH has used this method for as many years as I can remember... She called them games out and skips since last hit... See her SmartLuckAdvantage Gold...
Maybe you could show us the actual mathematical formulas...
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Quote: Originally posted by ddude003 on Aug 20, 2023
I don't see how this is "high grade maths"... Its just another method to keep track of numbers that may or may not lag behind in being drawn... GH has used this method for as many years as I can remember... She called them games out and skips since last hit... See her SmartLuckAdvantage Gold...
Maybe you could show us the actual mathematical formulas...
I know the formula. It's the same for all the clowns on LP.
(size of ego) ÷ (mathematical skill) = obnoxiousness level