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Odds of Missing digit 8 for 19 draws in P3

doodoohead's avatar - reaching vector-id801852852?s=170x170

 What are the Odds/Probability of a single digit missing in ALL positions for 19 Days?

  How often can we expect that to happen in a year? 

  Several players like to set up camp and wait/track for those types of opportunities.

 

Example:

 Playing just the doubles that include the long missing digit only, and then prepare to wait/trap for 3 days.

Old time players may not know the exact odds, but they know a gift horse when they see one.       

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In response to doodoohead

What game is this on?

doodoohead's avatar - reaching vector-id801852852?s=170x170

In the title of the post...... 

       " Odds of Missing digit 8 for 19 draws in P3"

      Guess thats why they put deer stands up high in trees. LOL 

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In response to doodoohead

LOL. I meant which specific game. The numbers vary between states I've seen. I could whip something up for you.I'll have to find a downloadable file for the draw history.

I prefer fishing. Hunting is too boring setting there.

doodoohead's avatar - reaching vector-id801852852?s=170x170

 That is a kind offer. Actually, I was just looking for the specific math of all Pick 3 games in general.

Perhaps an odds chart of some sort. We know for one position it's 1 in every 10 draws on average for a digit to show up. A missing digit for all 3 positions at the same time gets very very rare. 

  1/10 x 1/10 x 1/10

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In response to doodoohead

Do you have a spreadsheet program like Excel?

If not I'll just make something with what I have and put up the numbers for whomever wants to see it.

doodoohead's avatar - reaching vector-id801852852?s=170x170

Thanks Greenfox. I'm sure more than just a few players would like to see something along those lines.

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In response to doodoohead

You're Welcome!

Will get it on here just as soon as I get it done. It will be from the NC 3 here, but will give a general idea of what to expect.

Have a good day!

JordanT1021's avatar - latest cb=2015102018

North Carolina has done something similar before. The 4 digit went missing for a month. All positions

JordanT1021's avatar - latest cb=2015102018

If my memory serves me correct it happened sometime around April. It's been a couple of years though

Raven62's avatar - binary
In response to Greenfox

GA Evening (skipped 20 days before 8 appeared)

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I'm seeing as to where I'm at with this, the 0 has went 15 games or more a total of 9 times in the past almost 6 years alone.

Still at it amongst many other things, but will post all of it along with the book.

I'll have it show percentages for all most games from 1 time to whatever the most is, and as much data I can  figure to throw at it.

Once it's done, anyone can download the book, put their draw history into it and see what their own state is doing.

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This is from the day draw here in NC for the Pick 3. In 4,331 draws 0 had max skip of 22 games that it did not show up. 1 had a max of 21 times. You can see the rest. Each number kept an average of 4 games in a row that it did not show up. I find that a little odd that each one is exactly 4.

0 had 248 times that it showed up every other draw which was 5.73% of the draws. 0 also had 169 times that it skipped 2 games which was 3.90% of the draws.

The far left column is the amount of games that a number did not show up. It will show you up to 40 draws.

Under 0 to 9 on the left, will be the amount of times that a game did not have the number did not show up.

Percentage of each will be on the right.

This may help a little till I get it finished.

 

 

433101234567890123456789
MAX 22212828323020192833
Average4444444444
12482222242282272472382552242315.73%5.13%5.17%5.26%5.24%5.70%5.50%5.89%5.17%5.33%
21692021671681931711751591581673.90%4.66%3.86%3.88%4.46%3.95%4.04%3.67%3.65%3.86%
31271341291161371271291191381232.93%3.09%2.98%2.68%3.16%2.93%2.98%2.75%3.19%2.84%
4878687898385798389902.01%1.99%2.01%2.05%1.92%1.96%1.82%1.92%2.05%2.08%
5637060634546676660641.45%1.62%1.39%1.45%1.04%1.06%1.55%1.52%1.39%1.48%
6465255544146435043391.06%1.20%1.27%1.25%0.95%1.06%0.99%1.15%0.99%0.90%
7433036273233424221330.99%0.69%0.83%0.62%0.74%0.76%0.97%0.97%0.48%0.76%
8312828213432322724210.72%0.65%0.65%0.48%0.79%0.74%0.74%0.62%0.55%0.48%
9221616211921162120170.51%0.37%0.37%0.48%0.44%0.48%0.37%0.48%0.46%0.39%
1013111620616161416140.30%0.25%0.37%0.46%0.14%0.37%0.37%0.32%0.37%0.32%
1128179158771490.05%0.18%0.39%0.21%0.35%0.18%0.16%0.16%0.32%0.21%
126439105781070.14%0.09%0.07%0.21%0.23%0.12%0.16%0.18%0.23%0.16%
1347284526680.09%0.16%0.05%0.18%0.09%0.12%0.05%0.14%0.14%0.18%
1435353743440.07%0.12%0.07%0.12%0.07%0.16%0.09%0.07%0.09%0.09%
1513342155240.02%0.07%0.07%0.09%0.05%0.02%0.12%0.12%0.05%0.09%
1620121213130.05%0.00%0.02%0.05%0.02%0.05%0.02%0.07%0.02%0.07%
1721113300220.05%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.07%0.07%0.00%0.00%0.05%0.05%
1811000110120.02%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.02%0.02%0.00%0.02%0.05%
1911000211210.02%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.05%0.02%0.02%0.05%0.02%
2021001010120.05%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.02%0.00%0.02%0.00%0.02%0.05%
2101100000110.00%0.02%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.02%0.02%
2210000000100.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.02%0.00%
2300002000000.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
2400100000000.00%0.00%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
2500000000000.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
2600000000000.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
2700001000000.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
2800110000100.00%0.00%0.02%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.02%0.00%
2900000000000.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
3000000100000.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
3100000000000.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
3200001000000.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
3300000000010.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.02%
3400000000000.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
3500000000000.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
3600000000000.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
3700000000000.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
3800000000000.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
3900000000000.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
4000000000000.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
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In response to JordanT1021

Good memory!

Mid May of 2019 was the 4 for 32 games. 4 also missed 23 games twice in the day draws here in N.C. and went 20 and 27 games once each.

5 went 30 games in the end of October 2015.

9 went 33 draws until it broke out on the 2nd day of March 2015.

doodoohead's avatar - reaching vector-id801852852?s=170x170

 The basic data is so gratifying and confirming. At least for that ONE particular state anyway. 

 Although, in this beginning, it would be better for all state players to have generic data. They need generic data covering ALL P3 games in general for their own State.

 Potentially,"just one" state could be a data outlier. Only,my guess here is, nearly every State will show that same "4" times average number.

   Why? 

   The generic expectation of an all- position missing digit to start off was ...... 10*10*10 per 1000 games right? In fact it turned out to be ON THE MONEY.  10x10x10 =1000 games

   So,out of the 4,331 games used here ...each digit's average was indeed once for every 1000 games.     10*10*10 as expected

    Sweet !  The more common denominators we can find out about these generic "Rogue wave digits" the better. 

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