I voted for "this year" option. PB is having a matrix change on April 15th (5/66 white balls + 1/32 powerball) which will make the jackpot harder to win, meaning more jackpot rollovers. For that reason, along with the $2 tickets, I can see a billion dollar annuity jackpot sometime in 2015.
Honestly though, I'd be happy if I won the base jackpot of $40 million.
Quote: Originally posted by dognabit on Feb 4, 2015
That would be te only way I see it happening. If I remember correctly, the one Gloria Mackenzie won, every possible combination had been played.
Actually, in that $590 ($587) million drawing, roughly 80% of combinations were played. You can find old interviews where officials say that 4 out of every 5 combinations were sold. Even if a billion tickets were purchased randomly there would still be about 0.3% combinations unplayed.
The new matrix will, of course, exaggerate this further. If a billion tickets are purchased there will still be about 3% unplayed. Naturally, the reason is duplicates.
Re the OP, I do believe we will see a billion dollar jackpot and most likely under the new Powerball as long as sales continue supporting the game.