**Quote:** Originally posted by KY Floyd on May 18, 2013

The cash value right now is about .63 of the advertised amount, and each ticket contributes a hair under $0.64 to the cash value. That means that the number of tickets sold is about what the increase in the advertised jackpot is.

Considering that it's just past 3PM and they still haven't bumped it up from an even 600, MUSL must not have much confidence that the final tally will be very much above that. If it finishes at 625 that will be an increase of 275 from the last advertised jackpot of 350, so actual sales should be fairly close to 275 milion tickets.

A distribution based on pure probability suggests that the percentage of combinations that have been sold is significantly below the 80% that some are claiming. The chances of a rollover should be pretty close to 1 in 4.